Population Debate

group of people the south west debates: preparing for the next economic strategy

A growing, ageing and more diverse population has been identified as one of the key factors influencing the long term development of the economy, sustainability and wellbeing in the South West region.  The South West Regional Development Agency and the Regional Employment and Skills Partnership, in association with the Regional Age Management Standing Group, has designed a 'horizon scanning' exercise to stimulate and capture thinking about how, in the context of a significantly ageing population, the South West Region can manage paid and unpaid employment and active ageing.

What are we aiming to achieve?

The purpose of the horizon scanning/scenario process is to:

  • Gather thoughts and ideas about older people, employment and active ageing.
  • Consider and prioritise the ideas we have collected.
  • Better understand the more obvious issues and spot those issues that we need to be more thoughtful about as they may grow in importance.
  • Produce an advisory report for the South West Regional Employment and Skills Partnership and South West Regional Development Agency to assist the development of the Single Strategy in its focus on how the South West region can ensure that by 2025 it has an environment that supports and nurtures the economic participation and active engagement of the over 50s.

How will we do this work?

The work is in three distinct stages:

STAGE 1
First Phase:
The first stage will use what is called 'virtual' brainstorming'.  This is managed through web-based tools. It involves the collection of ideas and participants'  thoughts and observations about what are the key issues for the future regarding age, employment and active ageing.

Second Phase:
This is the prioritisation phase, in which participants prioritise and evaluate the ideas produced by other participants.

STAGE 2 
Involves the examination of the data collected, comparing emerging themes and participant sectors, and looking at the nature of the interrelationship between themes. Analysis provides reporting on 'strong signals' that should be considered when planning, new ideas on practice, and innovative perspectives that could play a part in planning. A draft analysis report is produced.  This profiles those ideas where there is high agreement on the significance of ideas, but also pinpoints areas of thinking where there is contention and where there are 'signals' that may or may not be important, but that warrant further attention. This report is presented to Regional Employment and Skills Partnership Alliance members at an Alliance Event, to scope further insight to these results.

STAGE 3
This stage is focused on producing a report that distils the key ideas from the exercise and prompts where strategy might be directed, as well as where further thinking and policy development should be considered. This will be presented to the Regional Employment and Skills Partnership Board. There will also be further opportunities for the outcomes and content of the exercise to be used in workshops, seminars and meetings by regional agencies and organisations when considering various aspects age demography and population issues.

Who is this work for?

We believe that this work will be valuable in engaging a wide number of people in a way that is structured but open, enabling challenge to traditional ways of thinking and making tacit knowledge, valuable intuition and insight visible.

When will we do this work?

The horizon scanning process runs over February - March 2010, with the initial analysis report feeding into a South West RESP event in April. This is followed by a report to the South West Regional Employment and Skills Partnership Board in mid-April and then further events over the course of 2010.

What is (or will be) the impact of this work?

The impact will be on the thinking and strategic direction of the Single Strategy in regard to age, employment and active ageing. Also, it is hoped that the innovative methodology involved will have impact on regional agencies in their consideration of methods for future consultations.

Contact Information

Simon Mauger, Regional Programme Director
simon.mauger@niace.org.uk

NIACE
21 De Montfort Street
Leicester
LE1 7GE

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